Gartner® Predicts 2026: Emergent Critical Risks of AI in CPS Security

As AI takes greater control of cyber-physical systems (CPS), cyber incidents can now quickly escalate into physical damage, safety failures, and large-scale operational disruptions. Systems that once relied on human oversight – from industrial control systems and robotics to smart infrastructure and autonomous operations – are increasingly operating at machine speed, with real-world consequences when something goes wrong. This timely new Gartner® report outlines the most serious emerging CPS threats and offers recommended approaches for how organizations can protect critical operations as AI becomes even more embedded in operational environments.

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About the Report

In Predicts 2026: Emergent Critical Risks of AI in CPS Security, Gartner analysts Katell Thielemann and Wam Voster examine how the rapid adoption of AI in cyber-physical systems is reshaping risk across manufacturing, critical infrastructure, and other asset-intensive industries.

The report reveals that CPS environments are becoming high-stakes targets for cyberattacks that can cause real-world damage.

“Misconfigured AI in CPS can lead to catastrophic failures, including shutdowns of national infrastructure, with limited human oversight and opaque decision-making pipelines.”

The report authors also warn that adversaries are increasingly using AI to accelerate attacks, with implications for organizations that rely on legacy security models:

“AI will become weaponized to automate reconnaissance, exploit zero-days, and bypass traditional defenses — especially in environments where patching CPS is difficult or impossible.”

Why This Report Matters for Operations and Security Leaders

Traditional, IT-centric security approaches cannot provide sufficient protection for AI-driven CPS environments. The report emphasizes the need to move beyond vulnerability-focused defenses toward operational resilience, prioritizing controlled access, segmentation, containment, and the ability to sustain and recover operations even when incidents occur.

For plant managers, operations leaders, and security teams alike, this shift reflects a clear new reality: CPS security is no longer just an IT concern. It is now essential to maintaining safety, uptime, and business continuity.

What You’ll Learn

This Gartner report will help you understand:

  • How AI is changing the risk profile of cyber-physical systems, allowing cyber events to escalate into safety risks, physical damage, and operational disruptions

  • Why traditional IT-centric security approaches fall short in CPS and operational environments

  • Where remote access, third parties, and unmanaged connections introduce the greatest risk to critical operations

  • Why strong access governance is becoming a foundational control for CPS security and operational resilience

  • How segmentation and isolation help limit blast radius when CPS assets are compromised or misconfigured

  • What architectural and governance changes are needed as AI becomes increasingly embedded in physical systems

  • How to prepare incident response and recovery plans for cyber events that impact equipment, safety, and production

Gartner, Predicts 2026: Emergent Critical Risks of AI in CPS Security, Katell Thielemann, Wam Voster, 15 December 2025.

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